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Covid-19:  We should have very low infection rates going into the new year

Covid-19: We should have very low infection rates going into the new year

According to Prof Salim Abdool Karim,  South Africa will be over the worst by October 2020

“I’ve seen the predictions and the numbers. I am not mathematics whiz but my gut feeling, for a lack of a better description, tells me we will start seeing a peak in about six to eight weeks.

“We will probably plateau by September, and we will be over the worst by October and November. We should be going into the new year with a very low rate of transmission. We can’t clear the virus completely,” he said.

“Once it’s in simmering mode, we will be able to take on more of our normal daily life activities, but of course under the new normal in which protection measures are still implemented,” he said.

“The virus can infect and kill the cells in the pancreas (Beta cells) and that can cause patients to be diabetic. It is very rare and we are not sure if it is reversible,” he said.

There are now 381,798 confirmed Covid-19 cases in SA, with 8,170 new cases reported on Tuesday.

Tuesday’s death toll of 195 was the second-highest daily number after 215 deaths were recorded on July 16. SA now has a death toll of 5,368.

The number of days in isolation has been reduced from 14 to 10 days.

Health minister Zweli Mkhize said the shortened period was in line with guidelines issued by the World Health Organisation and is based on recent global studies.


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